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Another week of preseason action has been completed, and the regular season
inches closer by the second. Predictions for the upcoming season will soon hit
a fever pitch, with the predictors citing events occurring in exhibition games
as supporting evidence to their theories. This common mistake will not
occur here.
As explained last week, the preseason is often misleading and does not
fairly represent the participating teams. Although the preseason can give a
glimpse into the future, it also can be an illusion that deceives its viewers. Last
season, both the Atlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears finished the exhibition
season 3-1, while the Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants went 1-3. The
Falcons and Bears combined for an 11-21 record during the regular season, while
the Colts and Giants combined for a 23-9 record, with the Giants emerging as
Super Bowl champions.
Similar to last week, the overall rankings will remain unchanged. However,
we will look at some of the possible early-warning signs that some teams are
showing and also some of the positive signs from other teams.
Concerns about:
St. Louis
Rams - The Rams led off this section last week and have earned
their spot again this week after another dismal offensive performance. The Rams
actually won the Week 2 game by a score of 7-6 against the San Diego Chargers,
but not due to any help from their starting offense. The starting offense also struggled last week against the Tennessee Titans, but only appeared in
limited action; however, against the Chargers, the starters played the entire first half
and still couldn’t muster a touchdown. Starting quarterback Marc Bulger will
take a lot of heat for his performance (he completed 7 of 14 passes for 56
yards and two interceptions), but when criticizing Bulger one needs to also
point a finger at his offensive line. There was consistent pressure on the
quarterback and star left tackle Orlando Pace, in particular, struggled. If the
line cannot improve its play, and if Pace can’t shake off the rust
associated with missing much of last season, the Rams will be in for a tough
year.
Cincinnati
Bengals - Starting quarterback Carson Palmer struggled in the Bengals’ Week 2
preseason game against the Detroit Lions, but he didn’t get much help from his
supporting cast. Wide receiver T.J. Houshmandzadeh sat out the game, and
Chad Johnson injured his shoulder on the team’s first drive as he was
out-wrestled for a pass by cornerback Brian Kelly. Palmer had to resort to many
short passes to move the ball, but he was unable to lead the Bengals to any
points in four drives and only managed to complete 6 of his 14
passes, including an interception. The moral of the story: the Bengals need a
healthy Houshmandzadeh and Johnson to have success in the upcoming season.
Keep an eye on:
Chicago
Bears - They looked more like the Bears of 2006 than of 2007 in their
Week 2 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, although that isn’t necessarily a good
thing. One of the outstanding memories from 2006 when recalling the Bears is
how ineffective the offense was at time, and how their defense and special
teams kept them in games. That scenario manifested itself for the Bears against the Seahawks. The offense struggled. They threw two interceptions, couldn’t run
the ball, and scored only one offensive touchdown–but still put up 26 points, thanks to a safety off of a blocked punt, an interception returned for a
touchdown, and 75-yard punt return for a touchdown. The third quarter provided a
perfect example of what the Bears’ defense/special teams can do, as Chicago outscored the Seattle 14-0 despite being outgained 112
yards to 1. If the defense and special teams play like that in the regular
season, newly named starting quarterback Kyle Orton will only have to manage
the game and not win it–much like 2006. It’s worth watching to see if the
defense and special teams can keep it up.
Tennessee
Titans - Over two preseason games, the Titans have both impressed and disappointed on
offense. The running game has looked great. The offensive line has opened holes,
and both LenDale White and Chris Johnson have taken advantage. Last week against
the Oakland Raiders, the two combined for 85 yards on 16 carries. Unfortunately
for the Titans, they have been unable to establish a respectable passing attack
to complement their potentially dominant running game. Quarterback Vince Young
struggled to move the ball though the air once again, completing only 4 of
13 passes for 37 yards.
Surprises:
San Francisco
49ers - The 49ers themselves haven’t been much of a surprise, but their struggles to
identify a starting quarterback have been. J.T. O’Sulivan, the unexpected favorite to start, has been anything but impressive. Fortunately for O’Sullivan,
neither of his competitors, Alex Smith and Shaun Hill, has done anything to distinguish himself. Whoever emerges as the starting signal caller may enjoy
the emergence of rookie wideout Josh Morgan, the sixth-round
selection from this year’s draft who continues to turn heads. Morgan followed up a
solid Week 1 performance with 5 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown. He
currently hasn’t been awarded a starting job, but he is making a strong case
for himself.
New York
Jets - The expectations for Brett Favre couldn’t have been high heading into his
first preseason game with his new team, considering he had barely spent a
week with the team, hadn’t been in training camp during the offseason, and was
in the process of learning an entirely new playbook; however, Favre’s performance, at least in my
eyes, was surprising. He didn’t play much but was very effective. He
completed 5 of 6 passes for 48 yards and a touchdown. It's only one game
and very limited action, but it’s definitely a good sign. Favre’s
rapport with his teammates will only improve with time, as will his grasp of
the playbook.
Rankings (unchanged from last week): - New
England Patriots – No one remembers this team as a record-breaking 18-1
powerhouse, but as Super Bowl upset victims. The secondary took a hit with the loss of
Asante Samuel, but the front seven gained the services of rookie Jerod
Mayo. A Super Bowl hangover is possible,
but the league’s most consistent team starts off the season with the benefit of
the doubt.
- Dallas
Cowboys – A very impressive offseason catapults America’s team to the top
of the NFC rankings. As long as Jessica
Simpson stays away, they’ll be fine.
- San Diego
Chargers – Boasting one of the league’s most talented rosters, the Chargers
will look to challenge the Patriots and Colts as the class of the AFC–and may
come out on top. Even while ravaged
with injuries, they came within 10 points of a Super Bowl berth last year.
- New York
Giants – The reigning Super Bowl champs will have a hard time defending
their title in 2008. Last season’s
improbable run will be difficult to duplicate, especially without the help of
Michael Strahan and Jeremy Shockey. Winning
their division will be a tough task in itself, never mind the Super Bowl.
- Indianapolis
Colts – One of the league’s most consistent teams figures to contend once
again in 2008. However, with so many
injury concerns surrounding them, the season does have the potential for
disaster. The Colts seem to be ready to
hit opening week in stride, but a significant setback to Peyton Manning, Marvin
Harrison or Dwight Freeney could be damaging.
- Jacksonville
Jaguars – The Jags seem to close the gap a little more with the Colts every
year. Could this be the season that they
finally catch them?
- Green Bay
Packers – On paper, this is one of the league’s best teams. However, dealing with one of the biggest
offseason distractions in recent memory could have some side effects. Also, how much do you trust Aaron Rodgers?
- Seattle
Seahawks – One of the league’s most underrated teams, the Seahawks remain
one of the NFC’s most complete. They
have no glaring holes and will look to re-establish one of the league’s best
ground games. The addition of offensive
line coach Mike Solari, who guided the Chiefs’ offensive line to greatness for
11 seasons, will help.
- Pittsburgh
Steelers – Ben Roethlisberger got his wish for a big, tall receiver granted
when the Steelers selected Limas Sweed in the second round. Also, the addition of Rashard Mendenhall will
add to the league’s No. 3 ranked rushing attack from a year ago. However, the loss of Alan Faneca and a
difficult schedule will be difficult obstacles to overcome
- Minnesota
Vikings – The Vikings own a dominant offensive and defensive line. They were last season’s top rushing offense
and rushing defense. However, they
ranked in the bottom five in both pass offense and defense.
- Tennessee
Titans – The Titans are a solid defensive team that needs help on
offense. Vince Young will have the help
of new offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger, who played a large role in
Steve McNair’s development. He will also
have the help of newly drafted running back Chris Johnson, who the team plans
to use in mold of Brain Westbrook.
- Cleveland
Browns – Last season’s out-of-nowhere team will not have the element of
surprise on their side in 2008. Can
Derek Anderson prove he is not a one-year wonder? Can the team overcome one of
the league’s toughest schedules? We’ll have to wait and see.
- Washington
Redskins
– New head coach Jim Zorn seems to have a firm grasp on the team
and will attempt to help Jason Campbell develop into a solid
quarterback. The additions on offense will help. Also, an already good
defense got better when
the team traded for Jason Taylor.
- New
Orleans Saints – The Saints entered 2007 with high expectations, but a
four-game losing streak to start the season was too much to overcome. The expectations are much more tempered in
2008, and this talented group should come closer to achieving its potential.
- Tampa Bay
Buccaneers – The Bucs haven’t strung two winning seasons together since
2002, and with an aging offense, that trend
could continue.
- Buffalo
Bills – The Bills showed flashes of potential when they won 7 of 10
games over Weeks 4-14. Unfortunately
for the Bills, they lost every other game.
- Philadelphia
Eagles – A healthy Brain Westbrook and Donovan McNabb in 2008 could equal a
potent offense. The defense had a solid
year in 2007 and addressed their biggest problem–an inability to generate
turnovers–with the signing of Asante Samuel.
- Arizona
Cardinals – The offense will be able to move the ball through the air, the
defense proved it can stop the run and should improve against the pass with the
addition of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie.
If the Cards get the ball moving on the ground, this team could be
dangerous.
- Carolina
Panthers – Jake Delhomme’s durability remains a concern, as does the
suspension of Steve Smith. However, with
the improvements to the running game, if Delhomme stays healthy and Smith has
no more off-the-field issues with teammates, this offense could take off.
- Houston
Texans – Mario Williams will be a force in his third year and should help
the Texans’ defense improve dramatically.
If only the Texans could run the football, I’d be tempted to say "Reggie
who?"
- Detroit
Lions – The Lions haven’t been the center of attention this offseason, but
that’s not necessarily a bad thing.
They’ve improved their offensive line and are committed to running the
football and throwing more balls to Calvin Johnson. If the revamped defense can show improvement,
the Lions, believe it or not, could be a competitive football team.
- Chicago
Bears – The Bears went to the Super Bowl in 2006. Since then, they’ve lost their No. 1 and No.
2 running backs and receivers. They have
no solid option at quarterback and their one bright spot, in terms of
potential offensive points, is Devin Hester, a return specialist. If the defense can’t return to 2006 form,
2008 may be a long year for the Bears.
- New York
Jets – B-R-E-T! BRET! BRET! BERT! (I
know ‘Brett’ has two Ts, but I still had to do it). The Jets hope their
revamped offensive line can keep the aging legend upright.
- Denver
Broncos – The Broncos couldn’t stop the run last year and did little to
change that for the up-coming season.
Their star-studded secondary will remain solid but the Broncos didn’t
select a front-seven player until the draft’s 148th pick. Surely the confidence in Boss Bailey and
Dewayne Robertson isn’t that high in the Rockies, is it?
- Kansas
City Chiefs – The defense should be able to stop the run with the addition
of Glenn Dorsey, and their pass defense is already solid. If Larry Johnson can stay healthy and Dwayne
Bowe takes a step forward, this often-overlooked team can surprise in
2008.
- Cincinnati
Bengals – A very distracting offseason won’t be a push in the right
direction. However, with the release of
Chris Henry and the Chad Johnson saga complete, this team can finally focus on
football. The passing game is a lock,
but can the running game and defense carry their weight?
- St. Louis
Rams
– Marc Bulger and Orlando Pace need to stay healthy. Tory Holt needs
to delay the evadable decline
that comes with age. Chris Long needs
to defy the odds and produce from the defensive end position as a
rookie. Steven Jackson needs to get to camp. Did I forget anything?
- Baltimore
Ravens – Joe Flacco may be the answer at quarterback but doesn’t figure to
get the job done this year. This team
has potential, but needs to avoid the decimating injuries it had last
season.
- San
Francisco 49ers – The addition of Mike Martz should make things
interesting; however, it is never a good sign when a former No. 1 overall draft
pick will be competing with a former NFL Europe player for the starting
quarterback job.
- Oakland
Raiders – The Raiders appear to be headed in the right direction, but surely
have some growing pains ahead of them.
JaMarcus Russell will finally get his chance to start, but if Javon
Walker can’t shake the injury bug, who is Russell going to throw to?
- Atlanta
Falcons – When a team’s best-case scenario is a rookie quarterback, a young
running back who’s never carried the ball more than 80 times in a season, and a
group of unaccomplished, young wideouts, the future may be promising, but present will most likely be frustrating.
- Miami
Dolphins - Last year’s worst team has made some strides in the right
direction; however, they still have many holes to fill.
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