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The preseason is underway and every team has played at least one game. During these contests fans watch with hopes of catching a sneak preview of what to expect in the upcoming season; I am no exception.
After watching almost every preseason game from the previous week, I have begun to formulate my own preseason opinions. Some of these are consistent with my original thoughts heading into the season, while others have shaken my confidence in some of my predictions. With that said, given the vanilla play-calling, disinterest from many starters, offseason rust, and lack of preparation for the opponent, the preseason does not generally give a true picture of things to come.
So, rather than shuffling my rankings based on my analysis of the recent action, I will share my thoughts and leave the adjustments for the future.
Concerns about:
St. Louis Rams – 2008 was supposed to be a bounce-back year for the Rams, but after watching one preseason game, I’m not so sure. The offensive line looked awful as the starting offense sputtered. Marc Bulger completed only three of nine passes and threw an interception. Adding to the concerns, the starting defense struggled against the run. It’s just one preseason game, but I can hear what is being said in St. Louis already, “Here we go again.”
Indianapolis Colts – With so much of the starting offense missing, it’s only a minor observation, but the Colts will struggle mightily if Peyton Manning suffers any setbacks with his knee or any significant injury whatsoever. The starting offense began the game with two turnovers (a fumble and interception)–in only four plays.
Keep an eye on:
Buffalo Bills – There will be a quarterback controversy in Buffalo this year. Many expect Trent Edwards to be the team’s starter but, after Saturday’s preseason game, there may be some doubts. Edwards started the game and only completed one of five attempts, while J.P. Losman completed seven of his nine attempts, including a beautiful 16-yard-touchdown toss.
San Francisco 49ers – J.T. O’Sullivan is still the favorite to be starting quarterback in San Fran. He didn’t look overly impressive in the 49ers’ preseason game but did look better than his competition (Alex Smith and Shaun Hill). Also, Josh Morgan continues to impress at wideout. Morgan has sleeper written all over him; the only question is, will Mike Martz trust a rookie to play a large role in his offense?
Surprises:
Oakland Raiders - The Raiders' defense looked great against the 49ers. Their secondary is one of the best in the league, and their defensive line was surprisingly effective. If the Raiders can consistently get similar production from their line, they could be a stellar defensive team. On the offensive side of the ball, Darren McFadden looked ready to start the season. The No. 4-overall pick from this year’s draft showed outstanding acceleration with quick decision-making and good power.
Detroit Lions – It wasn’t necessarily surprising as much as it was abnormal: the Lions actually ran the football. The same team that had the fewest running attempts in the league a year ago ran the ball 35 times (including seven runs from their quarterbacks). They also did a great job of using Calvin Johnson during his short stint in the game. He registered four receptions for 78 yards.
Rankings (unchanged from last week):
- New
England Patriots – No one remembers this team as a record-breaking 18-1
powerhouse, but as Super Bowl upset victims. The secondary took a hit with the loss of
Asante Samuel, but the front seven gained the services of rookie Jerod
Mayo. A Super Bowl hangover is possible,
but the league’s most consistent team starts off the season with the benefit of
the doubt.
- Dallas
Cowboys – A very impressive offseason catapults America’s team to the top
of the NFC rankings. As long as Jessica
Simpson stays away, they’ll be fine.
- San Diego
Chargers – Boasting one of the league’s most talented rosters, the Chargers
will look to challenge the Patriots and Colts as the class of the AFC–and may
come out on top. Even while ravaged
with injuries, they came within 10 points of a Super Bowl berth last year.
- New York
Giants – The reigning Super Bowl champs will have a hard time defending
their title in 2008. Last season’s
improbable run will be difficult to duplicate, especially without the help of
Michael Strahan and Jeremy Shockey. Winning
their division will be a tough task in itself, never mind the Super Bowl.
- Indianapolis
Colts – One of the league’s most consistent teams figures to contend once
again in 2008. However, with so many
injury concerns surrounding them, the season does have the potential for
disaster. The Colts seem to be ready to
hit opening week in stride, but a significant setback to Peyton Manning, Marvin
Harrison or Dwight Freeney could be damaging.
- Jacksonville
Jaguars – The Jags seem to close the gap a little more with the Colts every
year. Could this be the season that they
finally catch them?
- Green Bay
Packers – On paper, this is one of the league’s best teams. However, dealing with one of the biggest
offseason distractions in recent memory could have some side effects. Also, how much do you trust Aaron Rodgers?
- Seattle
Seahawks – One of the league’s most underrated teams, the Seahawks remain
one of the NFC’s most complete. They
have no glaring holes and will look to re-establish one of the league’s best
ground games. The addition of offensive
line coach Mike Solari, who guided the Chiefs’ offensive line to greatness for
11 seasons, will help.
- Pittsburgh
Steelers – Ben Roethlisberger got his wish for a big, tall receiver granted
when the Steelers selected Limas Sweed in the second round. Also, the addition of Rashard Mendenhall will
add to the league’s No. 3 ranked rushing attack from a year ago. However, the loss of Alan Faneca and a
difficult schedule will be difficult obstacles to overcome
- Minnesota
Vikings – The Vikings own a dominant offensive and defensive line. They were last season’s top rushing offense
and rushing defense. However, they
ranked in the bottom five in both pass offense and defense.
- Tennessee
Titans – The Titans are a solid defensive team that needs help on
offense. Vince Young will have the help
of new offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger, who played a large role in
Steve McNair’s development. He will also
have the help of newly drafted running back Chris Johnson, who the team plans
to use in mold of Brain Westbrook.
- Cleveland
Browns – Last season’s out-of-nowhere team will not have the element of
surprise on their side in 2008. Can
Derek Anderson prove he is not a one-year wonder? Can the team overcome one of
the league’s toughest schedules? We’ll have to wait and see.
- Washington
Redskins
– New head coach Jim Zorn seems to have a firm grasp on the team
and will attempt to help Jason Campbell develop into a solid
quarterback. The additions on offense will help. Also, an already good
defense got better when
the team traded for Jason Taylor.
- New
Orleans Saints – The Saints entered 2007 with high expectations, but a
four-game losing streak to start the season was too much to overcome. The expectations are much more tempered in
2008, and this talented group should come closer to achieving its potential.
- Tampa Bay
Buccaneers – The Bucs haven’t strung two winning seasons together since
2002, and with an aging offense, that trend
could continue.
- Buffalo
Bills – The Bills showed flashes of potential when they won 7 of 10
games over Weeks 4-14. Unfortunately
for the Bills, they lost every other game.
- Philadelphia
Eagles – A healthy Brain Westbrook and Donovan McNabb in 2008 could equal a
potent offense. The defense had a solid
year in 2007 and addressed their biggest problem–an inability to generate
turnovers–with the signing of Asante Samuel.
- Arizona
Cardinals – The offense will be able to move the ball through the air, the
defense proved it can stop the run and should improve against the pass with the
addition of Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie.
If the Cards get the ball moving on the ground, this team could be
dangerous.
- Carolina
Panthers – Jake Delhomme’s durability remains a concern, as does the
suspension of Steve Smith. However, with
the improvements to the running game, if Delhomme stays healthy and Smith has
no more off-the-field issues with teammates, this offense could take off.
- Houston
Texans – Mario Williams will be a force in his third year and should help
the Texans’ defense improve dramatically.
If only the Texans could run the football, I’d be tempted to say "Reggie
who?"
- Detroit
Lions – The Lions haven’t been the center of attention this offseason, but
that’s not necessarily a bad thing.
They’ve improved their offensive line and are committed to running the
football and throwing more balls to Calvin Johnson. If the revamped defense can show improvement,
the Lions, believe it or not, could be a competitive football team.
- Chicago
Bears – The Bears went to the Super Bowl in 2006. Since then, they’ve lost their No. 1 and No.
2 running backs and receivers. They have
no solid option at quarterback and their one bright spot, in terms of
potential offensive points, is Devin Hester, a return specialist. If the defense can’t return to 2006 form,
2008 may be a long year for the Bears.
- New York
Jets – B-R-E-T! BRET! BRET! BERT! (I
know ‘Brett’ has two Ts, but I still had to do it). The Jets hope their
revamped offensive line can keep the aging legend upright.
- Denver
Broncos – The Broncos couldn’t stop the run last year and did little to
change that for the up-coming season.
Their star-studded secondary will remain solid but the Broncos didn’t
select a front-seven player until the draft’s 148th pick. Surely the confidence in Boss Bailey and
Dewayne Robertson isn’t that high in the Rockies, is it?
- Kansas
City Chiefs – The defense should be able to stop the run with the addition
of Glenn Dorsey, and their pass defense is already solid. If Larry Johnson can stay healthy and Dwayne
Bowe takes a step forward, this often-overlooked team can surprise in
2008.
- Cincinnati
Bengals – A very distracting offseason won’t be a push in the right
direction. However, with the release of
Chris Henry and the Chad Johnson saga complete, this team can finally focus on
football. The passing game is a lock,
but can the running game and defense carry their weight?
- St. Louis
Rams
– Marc Bulger and Orlando Pace need to stay healthy. Tory Holt needs
to delay the evadable decline
that comes with age. Chris Long needs
to defy the odds and produce from the defensive end position as a
rookie. Steven Jackson needs to get to camp. Did I forget anything?
- Baltimore
Ravens – Joe Flacco may be the answer at quarterback but doesn’t figure to
get the job done this year. This team
has potential, but needs to avoid the decimating injuries it had last
season.
- San
Francisco 49ers – The addition of Mike Martz should make things
interesting; however, it is never a good sign when a former No. 1 overall draft
pick will be competing with a former NFL Europe player for the starting
quarterback job.
- Oakland
Raiders – The Raiders appear to be headed in the right direction, but surely
have some growing pains ahead of them.
JaMarcus Russell will finally get his chance to start, but if Javon
Walker can’t shake the injury bug, who is Russell going to throw to?
- Atlanta
Falcons – When a team’s best-case scenario is a rookie quarterback, a young
running back who’s never carried the ball more than 80 times in a season, and a
group of unaccomplished, young wideouts, the future may be promising, but present will most likely be frustrating.
- Miami
Dolphins - Last year’s worst team has made some strides in the right
direction; however, they still have many holes to fill.
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