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Strat-O-Kastner > The Pitcher Cheat Sheets

While a strong hitting lineup is good way to win, preventing your opponent from scoring is also important and that is the job of the pitchers.

How the Ratings Work

The formulas I use for hitters are the same as the ones I use for pitchers with a little twist.  The answer you get when you use a runs formula on a pitcher is runs, obviously.  There really isn’t a formula in baseball that measures the performance of a pitcher over time like a hitter.  There are a ton of runs formulas for hitters.  There is linear weights, run created, base runs, and a new one every year.  Pitchers you really want to know how many innings a pitcher will pitch without giving up a run and that is what I use.  Innings pitched minus Runs Given Up. 

How to Read the Cheat Sheets

The cheat sheet breaks each pitcher by role.  The first set of columns is just card value.  This number tells you how good the card looks.  The lower the number the better.

The next set of columns tells you the value of the player based upon the rules you use.  If you play using the injury rules, then you would use the first set of numbers.  The number of innings a pitcher pitches is based upon the endurance and whether the pitcher is “stared” or able to pitch every four days.

The number is a total account based upon the ratio of left-handed hitters and right-handed hitters.  The ratio changes every year.

The third set of columns assumes that you use usage rules.  Usage rules means that you can only use a player as much as that player has Major League at-bats.  Most leagues add a percentage to at-bats, usually 10%.  I do not.

Finally, the Tactical Skills tells you if the pitcher can pitch every four days, hold runners, hit, bunt, or has a high reliever endurance.

Quick Card Analysis

One thing you will notice immediately is that a pitcher with plenty of innings, or in the case of injury rules, a high endurance, does well in my system.  A pitcher with 40 innings and a 2.50 ERA is not as valuable as a pitcher with 220 innings and a 4.00 ERA.

This does make relievers kind of quirky, because a pitcher who was primarily a starter, but pitched enough to earn a reliever rating will appear on top of the list when you sort pitchers by usage.  I leave them there because the best middle reliever in a usage rules scenario would be a starter with 180 innings who can also relieve.

Also, if you see a pitcher move up higher than you think he would, look for double plays.  A pitcher with a high number of double-plays moves up in my system.  A double play is worth more to a pitcher than a strikeout.

I’ll let you ponder the numbers and comment if you see something interesting.

 

JP Kastner is the winner of the 2007 Strat-O-Matic Baseball Online Expert League World Series.  In five seasons of SOMBOE, JP Kastner has five winning seasons, four playoff appearances, three World Series appearances and now one World Championship.  He is in his second season in the Tout Wars mixed league.

 

 

posted @ Friday, January 25, 2008 10:26 PM by JP Kastner

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COMMENTS

JP - you are awesome - in our league 8 of 20 teams make the playoffs. At the beginning of the season you pretty much know if you are a playoff team or not. In the playoffs the rules change - betters must have at least 100 AB, starters 100 IP, and relievers 40 IP to play in the playoffs. This is a long way of saying that it would be very useful if you added an IP column to this file and AB column to the batters. Then we select and end up with a playoff eligible dataset.

Patrick

posted @ Sunday, January 27, 2008 10:05 AM by RoscoeStKnight


JP - You have answered a question I had about the number of lefty starters in MLB last year. Looking at the boxes it looked like there were more lefty starters than usual. Looks like another case where anecdotal evidence sucks.

You provide data on 164 righty starters and 71 lefties - lefties make up 30% of the starters. Looks like same-old same-old to me.

How many righties got a 100+ rating (usage) vs lefties - 47 vs 18. Of all the pitchers with a 100+ rating, 28% were lefties.

Interesting - I would have guessed the lefties would be a smaller proportion of pitchers rated 100+.

Patrick

posted @ Sunday, January 27, 2008 10:21 AM by RoscoeStKnight


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